Opinion Polls and Politics W : History, Theory and Practice

by
Format: Trade Book
Pub. Date: 1999-06-12
Publisher(s): Manchester University Press
List Price: $74.95

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Summary

Opinion Pollsprovides a comprehensive exposition of the history and purpose of opinion polls, covering both theory and practice. It is written by an insider who has worked for over twenty years in the field, and thus draws on a wide range of practical experience. Polls were very much in the news after the 1992 and 1997 general elections, and the book discusses all the possible theories for the errors in 1992, examines the various changes in methodology to try and remove those errors, and evaluates their success in 1997. The book consists of three principal, interwoven strands: the history and development of opinion polling; the survey research theory which lies behind polls; and the methodology used in practice by the polls.

Author Biography

Nick Moon is Director of Political and Social Research at the NOP Research Group.

Table of Contents

List of figures and tables
viii(2)
Series editors' foreword x(1)
Acknowledgements xi(2)
List of abbreviations xiii
Introduction -- a question of definition 1(5)
1 The early history
6(18)
2 Polling methodology: the theory
24(19)
3 Methodology in practice: sampling
43(22)
4 Methodology in practice: interviewing
65(29)
5 Recent history, 1970-1992
94(14)
6 What went wrong in 1992?
108(26)
7 Exit polling: a special case
134(37)
8 Private polling
171(14)
9 A time of flux -- 1997 and beyond
185(31)
Index 216

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